Riding a Heater
Jackpot Analysis

Jackpot Growth Tracker

Track major lottery jackpots, see projected growth, and understand the real math behind when (if ever) a ticket becomes +EV.

Powerball Jackpot

$350M

Pick 5 from 1-69 + 1 Powerball from 1-26

Lump Sum (pre-tax)
$193M
After Federal Tax
$121M
Odds of Winning
1 in 292M
EV per $2 Ticket
-0.80

What $121M Buys

2021 yearsof median US income ($60K)
303 housesat $400K average
2695 TeslasModel 3 at $45K

Projected Growth

4
Now
$350M
+1w
$374M
+2w
$398M
+3w
$422M
+4w
$446M

Expected Value Analysis

Current EV per ticket
$-0.8022

You lose 0.8022 on average per ticket. The jackpot would need to reach $584M to be +EV.

Break-even jackpot (for +EV)
$584M

At this jackpot size, a $2 ticket has positive expected value (ignoring split probability).

Note: Jackpot amounts are illustrative estimates. Actual amounts change with each drawing. Growth projections assume no winner. Tax calculations use federal rates only — state taxes vary.